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But in 2016, this divide was larger than in any of the previous years since 1992. That is exactly what has happened. The graph presents the predicted chance of voting for the Republican candidate among those who chose none of the child rearing values that emphasized conformity or obedience and among those who chose all four such values.

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But the margin for error shrinks demonstrably when most franchise quarterbacks go from their rookie contracts to high paying ones. Prescott joins Wilson, Ryan, Brady, Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco, Philip Rivers and Andrew Luck as quarterbacks with a 63 percent or better win rate on their first contracts. Only Brady and Roethlisberger have eclipsed that win rate in the seasons that followed, and those two plus Peyton Manning (who jumped from a 56.3 percent win rate on his first deal to 78.1 percent) have dominated the AFC for years.

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